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Escalation of Ukraine-Russia Conflict: Stalemate with ongoing conflict
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.35 Bearish$63,570
Escalation of Ukraine-Russia Conflict: De-escalation through negotiations
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.39 Bearish$63,573
Escalation of Ukraine-Russia Conflict: Escalation leads to sanctions
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.35 Bearish$63,581
Daily BTC Outlook — August 12, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook-0.25 Bearish$63,736
Escalation of Middle East Tensions: De-escalation and return to normalcy
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.18 Neutral$63,856
Escalation of Middle East Tensions: Stalemate with diplomatic negotiations
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.17 Neutral$63,876
Escalation of Middle East Tensions: Escalation leads to oil supply crisis
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.12 Neutral$63,916
Daily BTC Outlook — August 11, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook-0.35 Bearish$64,052
Escalating Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz: De-escalation and Resolution
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.05 Neutral$65,126
Escalating Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz: Stalemate and Continued Negotiations
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.09 Neutral$65,119
Daily BTC Outlook — August 10, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook-0.29 Bearish$64,930
Escalating Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz: Escalation of Maritime Conflicts
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.30 Bearish$64,799
Daily BTC Outlook — August 9, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook-0.22 Bearish$64,746
US Senate Passes Aggressive Russian Sanctions: Stalemate with Continued Sanctions
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.07 Neutral$64,935
US Senate Passes Aggressive Russian Sanctions: Diplomatic Resolution
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.11 Neutral$64,941
US Senate Passes Aggressive Russian Sanctions: Escalation of Conflict
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.16 Neutral$64,947
Daily BTC Outlook — August 8, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook-0.25 Bearish$64,983
Strait of Hormuz Deal Imminent: Stalemate, Market Uncertainty Continues
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.04 Neutral$64,293
Strait of Hormuz Deal Imminent: Deal Fails, Tensions Escalate
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.23 Bearish$64,335
Strait of Hormuz Deal Imminent: Deal Announced, Tensions Ease
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.25 Bullish$64,395
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