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Escalating Tensions in the Strait of Hormuz: Escalation of Military Action
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.15 Neutral$62,567
Daily BTC Outlook — July 4, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook+0.17 Neutral$62,583
Fed Chairman's Uncertainty on Rate Hikes: Market Stalemate with Mixed Reactions
·Monetary Policy
Scenario+0.10 Neutral$61,309
Fed Chairman's Uncertainty on Rate Hikes: Continued Rate Hike Speculation
·Monetary Policy
Scenario+0.08 Neutral$61,349
Fed Chairman's Uncertainty on Rate Hikes: Dovish Shift in Fed Policy
·Monetary Policy
Scenario+0.17 Neutral$61,378
Daily BTC Outlook — July 3, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook-0.27 Bearish$61,347
Accumulation beneath the surface’: Bitcoin rebounds above $61,000 as long-term holders accumulate amid steady ETF outflows
·Market Event
Post-Event+0.54 Bullish$61,520
Daily BTC Outlook — July 2, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook+0.16 Neutral$61,103
Iran-U.S. Talks Impact on Oil and Crypto Markets: Stalemate with Mixed Signals
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.12 Neutral$60,890
Iran-U.S. Talks Impact on Oil and Crypto Markets: Continued Tensions
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.12 Neutral$60,893
Iran-U.S. Talks Impact on Oil and Crypto Markets: Positive Resolution
·Geopolitical
Scenario+0.46 Bullish$60,960
Robinhood rolls out public blockchain, plans crypto trading for UK residents
·Market Event
Post-Event+0.49 Bullish$60,750
Iran Attacks Bahrain and Kuwait Following US Strikes: Stalemate with Continued Tensions
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.32 Bearish$59,040
Iran Attacks Bahrain and Kuwait Following US Strikes: De-escalation and Ceasefire
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.29 Bearish$59,022
Iran Attacks Bahrain and Kuwait Following US Strikes: Escalation of Conflict
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.33 Bearish$59,006
Daily BTC Outlook — July 1, 2026
·Daily BTC
Daily Outlook-0.57 Bearish$59,089
Micron Hit With Price-Fixing Lawsuit: Real Collusion or Simple Supply and Demand
·Market Event
Post-Event-0.40 Bearish$58,502
U.S. Launches Fresh Strikes on Iran: Stalemate with Continued Tensions
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.29 Bearish$59,394
U.S. Launches Fresh Strikes on Iran: Diplomatic Resolution
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.29 Bearish$59,467
U.S. Launches Fresh Strikes on Iran: Escalation of Conflict
·Geopolitical
Scenario-0.33 Bearish$59,506
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